Predictify: Commerce Intelligence via Prediction Markets


The Problem

Merchants lost $3.4B in 2024 because they reacted to the news. In commerce, the news is a post-mortem. While Wall Street uses prediction markets to see crises weeks in advance, "Main Street" is left playing catch-up.

What it Does

Predictify bridges the gap between global prediction signals and Shopify actions.

  • Intelligence Briefing: A 60-second morning audio brief (ElevenLabs) that translates global volatility into specific store tasks.
  • Multi-Agent Orchestration: Our system uses 3+ specialized AI agents. It learns from you: every time you approve or reject a suggestion, the agents refine their reasoning to better match your business logic.
  • Programmable Certainty: One-click on-chain hedging via Solana to lock in margins against predicted supply chain spikes.

The Tech Stack

  • Reasoning: Gemini 3 Flash orchestrates agent handoffs and synthesizes market data.
  • Orchestration: Foresters Financial framework for state management and user-feedback loops.
  • Signals: Polymarket API for real-time event probabilities.
  • Voice: ElevenLabs for the daily "Merchant Briefing."
  • Blockchain: Solana for executing programmable hedging contracts.

Challenges

  • State Handoffs: Ensuring the "Risk Analyst" agent passed perfect context to the "Pricing Strategist" without "hallucination lag."
  • Signal Translation: Converting a "78% probability of a tariff increase" into a precise, actionable Shopify inventory re-order point.

Accomplishments

  • Deep Shopify Integration: A massive win for us was successfully embedding Predictify directly into the Shopify Admin UI for a seamless merchant experience.
  • The Feedback Loop: Building a "Human-in-the-loop" system where the AI’s intelligence actually scales based on which suggestions the merchant approves.

What's Next

  • Auto-Execution: Moving from "suggestions" to autonomous execution for pre-approved risk thresholds.
  • Predictify API: Allowing 3PL providers to bake our risk-scores into their routing logic.

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