posted an update

Here are some initial thoughts on groups of indicators that we may wish to consider if we wish to explain the COVID 19 growth curve:

People: -Overall population density -relative population density by age categories (10 year age groupings)


  • small world network effects -- # ports of entry into the country (aviation data, other transport data, border data...??) --public events (holidays also, maybe???)

Exposure to pathogen --Time of arrival - Date of first known COVID case in country

Environment -temperature/climate

Known interventions -Time to (first) intervention -Social Isolation policy (time to) -Shelter in place policy (time to) -Whole of city lockdown policy (time to) -Mass Testing (time to) -other interventions (time to)

We should also consider type of governance, and existing health infrastructure.

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