Inspiration

Brought together by a drive to apply our experience and skills with modeling to solve real-world problems. We started with a brainstorm, applying design thinking methods and mindsets. With this process, we came up with an idea to create a detailed model for any counties or equivalent administration to aid in allocating resources. The prototype was limited to the USA, due to the availability of the data, but this was used as a proof of concept, with the intention to be developed globally.

During our shared experience of entering into lockdown and before, we saw the inadvertent panic that was incited by the news. This panic sometimes resulted in mass congregations to the same places which could result in an increased spread of the virus. Adding these panic dynamics to our model allows us to take into account human factors.

What it does

WHET is a browser-based tool that visualizes a set of risk metrics and maps them with a heatmap for each county of the United States of America. Each county can be analyzed with an SEIR model that has been adjusted to include lockdown and panic variables - which can be adjusted in time intervals by the user.

The result of WHET is that leaders and administrators will be able to use this tool to aid in allocation of resources. WHET does not show the probability of an outbreak occurring within an area, but rather shows the ramifications of one. This is achieved by utilizing data on the number of ICU beds and population - as well as population age.

What's next for WHET

The architecture for WHET is easily scalable, both in terms of using global data and increasing the number of inputs available to the user. Further development of the concept would require access to global data, at the county/regional level, in order to further the reach of the heatmap making WHET relevant to a wider audience. Plus, by applying social science analysis and working closely with decision-makers and partners, we could improve the inputs available to the user, giving them greater flexibility and control, ultimately empowering them to make better choices.

In our submission, we have also considered the sustainability of the business by proposing a Business Model Canvas (BMC) that could support the cost structure of the enterprise. This BMC is not definitive, but there to illustrate the feasibility of the concept.

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