Please check out my Project website for my full explanation and visualizations


I wanted to find out if COVID19 deaths could be predicted based on the type of long term care facility. Finding out if certain types of institutions coped better with the pandemic could inform future policy on long term care home regulation.


I scraped the web for historical data on performance in government inspections, the presence of resident and family councils, the size of the facility ect.

I performed a step-wise regression model. My results were significant, with R-squared of 0.13 and a p-value < 0.005. While this may not seem like a lot of predictive power, I would argue that 13% is worth investigating given that the context is predicted mortality in a pandemic.


To look at my methodology please see my Scripts and Data.

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