Covid Vaccine Projections

Predictions for This Week
Days from 12/16/20

Covid vaccine Projections is a machine learning model used to predict vaccinations up until herd immunity in Philadelphia built using python, Pandas, and Scikitlearn. The model uses Vaccine Data from the municipal government's official tally (https://www.phila.gov/programs/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/vaccines/data/) to predict what vaccinations we will have on future days. The model currently attempts takes into account day of the week effects and the current trend.

We used the model to simulate the vaccinations up until half of philadelphia was Vaccinated, A bench mark that it predicts we will hit about about 90 days from now. on its face this might seem optimistic but CDC Models make comparable assumptions in assuming 1 million vaccnations a day starting in january. (https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7003e2.htm?s_cid=mm7003e2_w)