Inspiration

Policy debates are usually loud but hard to follow. Most people can hear a headline about a tariff, tax, or reform and still not answer the practical question: what will this actually change for real people? We built Cascade to make those consequences visible in seconds, not hidden in 80-page reports.

What it does

Cascade takes a plain-English policy description and generates an interactive impact analysis across:

  • countries and regions
  • trade and market effects
  • demographic winners and losers
  • second- and third-order knock-on effects over time

How we built it

  • Frontend app with React + Vite
  • Structured analysis pipeline powered by Claude via the Anthropic Messages API
  • A strict JSON contract (ImpactSpec) between AI reasoning and UI rendering
  • Visual layers for map, routes, flow graph, demographics, and timeline using Plotly + D3 + TopoJSON
  • Fast iteration and UI polish with Tailwind CSS

At a high level, we treat policy shock as a propagation system over regions and causal links:

$$ I_{\text{total}}=\sum_{r} w_r I_r+\sum_{e}\alpha_e\Delta_e $$

This helped us combine direct impacts and knock-on effects in one coherent view.

Challenges we faced

  • forcing consistently valid structured output from open-ended prompts
  • balancing speed and depth under hackathon time pressure
  • representing uncertainty clearly without making results feel vague
  • keeping visual complexity readable on one screen

What we learned

  • strict schema design is critical for reliable AI-to-UI products
  • the biggest value is reasoning quality, not just text generation
  • policy tools need to communicate caveats and confidence, not only conclusions
  • fixed visual components are often more robust than fully generated UI code in a hackathon setting

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